Cite as:
Landis J, Zhang M, 1998, "The second generation of the California urban futures model. Part 2: Specification and calibration results of the land-use change submodel" Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 25(6) 795 – 824
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The second generation of the California urban futures model. Part 2: Specification and calibration results of the land-use change submodel

J Landis, M Zhang

Received 10 June 1997; in revised form 16 January 1998

Abstract. In this paper, part 2 of a three-part series, we present the formal specification and calibration results of the land-use change component of the second-generation California urban futures model. The land-use change component consists of a series of nonordinal multinomial logit models of site-specific land-use changes. These models incorporate spatial measures (for example, mix of adjacent land uses, and proximity to similar activities) as well as local policy and accessibility measures. Various model forms are developed and explained, as are multiple approaches to evaluating the equation for goodness-of-fit.

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