1974 volume 6(6) pages 703 – 715

Cite as:
Stokes E B, 1974, "The evaluation of an Empiric model for an urban area" Environment and Planning A 6(6) 703 – 715

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The evaluation of an Empiric model for an urban area

E B Stokes

Received 20 May 1974, in revised form 13 August 1974

Abstract. A version of the Empiric model for an urban area is evaluated by examining its forecasting ability and the customary assumption that its parameters will remain constant over time. The model's forecasting ability is found to be quite poor and the assumption of parameter constancy is found to be invalid. The analysis casts grave doubts on the model's usefulness as an urban forecasting technique.

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